Wednesday, November 16, 2011

Octobers numbers

Here's the October report from DataQuick. Not a lot of movement in the IE. San Berdu is stuck at $150k median and Riverside fell a little. Sale numbers were down slightly from last year which is a little surprising considering how low interest rates have been. I suppose some of that slowdown could be the lack of inventory at the low end. If you've been looking you know there aint' much decent in the starter home/rental end of the market. From what I am seeing the more expensive stuff is just sitting unless the house is spectacular.

Here's the meat of the report.

Southland home sales rose slightly in October compared with a year earlier but were still nearly 30 percent below the long-term average. The region’s median sale price dipped to its lowest level since January as activity above $500,000 fell sharply, distressed property sales rose slightly and mortgage availability worsened, a real estate information service reported.

A total of 16,829 new and resale houses and condos sold in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties in October. That was down 7.3 percent from 18,149 in September and up 0.5 percent from 16,744 in October 2010, according to San Diego-based DataQuick.

A drop in sales between September and October is not unusual, but last month’s decline was larger than the average change – a decline of 0.7 percent – between those months since 1988, when DataQuick's statistics begin.

October sales have varied from a low of 12,913 in 2007 to a high of 37,642 in 2003. Last month’s sales were 29.3 percent below the October average of 23,819 transactions since 1988

“For a few months now, lower prices and amazingly low mortgage rates have kept resale activity slightly ahead of last year. Of course, that’s not saying a lot when you consider sales were 25 to 30 percent below average. The market continues to struggle with a difficult lending environment, uncertainty among potential buyers, underwater homeowners who can’t move up, and a weak job market. The lower conforming loan limits implemented last month help explain the relatively sharp drop in mid- to high-end sales during October. Now we’ll have to see if the private loan market can fill the void,” said John Walsh, DataQuick president.

The conforming loan limits, which were reduced Oct. 1, vary by county. In Los Angeles and Orange counties, for example, the limit for FHA loans and mortgages guaranteed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac was lowered from $729,750 to $625,500. Home sales in those two counties that had purchase loans between $625,501 and $729,750 – the band eliminated by the lower limit – dropped to 102, down 71 percent from 350 sales in September and down 71.5 percent from 358 sales a year earlier.

The typical monthly mortgage payment that Southland buyers committed themselves to paying was $1,040 last month, down from $1,084 in September and $1,111 in October 2010. Adjusted for inflation, current payments are 55.4 percent below typical payments in the spring of 1989, the peak of the prior real estate cycle. They are 63.4 percent below the current cycle’s peak in July 2007.



Sales Volume Median Price
All homes Oct-10 Oct-11 %Chng Oct-10 Oct-11 %Chng
Los Angeles 5,470 5,830 6.60% $325,000 $300,000 -7.70%
Orange 2,298 2,241 -2.50% $438,000 $405,000 -7.50%
Riverside 3,264 3,026 -7.30% $198,000 $187,000 -5.60%
San Bernardino 2,343 2,300 -1.80% $150,000 $150,000 0.00%
San Diego 2,750 2,759 0.30% $334,500 $315,000 -5.80%
Ventura 619 673 8.70% $355,000 $335,000 -5.60%
SoCal 16,744 16,829 0.50% $283,000 $270,000 -4.60%

6 comments:

I'm Not POTUS said...

Long time no see, must be a month of Sundays since I last enjoyed your prose.

Anywho, I am about to follow in your footsteps. Can't put the wife and kids off any longer. And waiting for almost a whole decade for reality to return has been a fruitless dream.

So any tips or on-line tools to recommend for my attempt at lunacy?

But what I am most curious about is if in your opinion Eastvale just went to hell in a hand-basket or is it livable.

Thanks for the consideration.

golfer_X said...

Eastvale is not my cup of tea. I worked over there for a few years and just hated the area. It's probably a little different now. The flies and the smell were irritating (although you do kinda get used to that smell). Also back then the roads were terrible (especially when it rained) and there were no stores. I know they opened up a bunch of new stores so that might be better now.


As far as tips, just make sure your financials are in order. They really do check everything now days (as they should). Don't make any big purchases and get all your paperwork in order that you will need for the loan. KNOW what you can afford and what you want to spend and stick to it (even when you wife wants to stretch the budget).

Most importantly make sure you love the house and the area. The worst thing would be to move in and after a year you find you hate the place and want to move.

TER said...

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