Tuesday, September 14, 2010

August numbers from DQ

No surprise here. Sales numbers continue to decline and the median is dropping again. However the median in the IE was about the same (Sanberdu ticked up a smidge). Our sales numbers were also about the same as last month (bad). So far price levels are holding (at least the median is) but how long that will last is anyone's guess. With the sales numbers in the toilet and the inventory starting to climb there will be a lot of pressure on prices.

Southland home sales fell last month to the lowest level for an August in three years and the second-lowest in 18, the result of a worrisome job market and a lost sense of urgency among home shoppers. The median price paid remained higher than a year ago but continued to erode on a month-to-month basis, a real estate information service reported.

A total of 18,541 new and resale houses and condos closed escrow last month in Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange counties. That was down 2.1 percent from 18,946 sales in July, and down 13.8 percent from 21,502 sales in August 2009, according to MDA DataQuick of San Diego.

Last month’s sales didn’t fall as sharply as in July, when the market lost most of the boost that had been provided by federal home buyer tax credits. July sales fell 20.6 percent from June and fell 21.4 percent from a year earlier. The now-expired credits spurred many buyers to purchase homes sooner than they otherwise would have, creating a market lull in their wake. Last month’s sales were the lowest for the month of August since 2007, when 17,755 homes sold, and the second-lowest since August 1992, when 16,379 sold. Last month’s sales were 31.5 percent lower than the August average of 27,070 sales since 1988, when DataQuick’s statistics begin. The average change in sales between July and August is a gain of 3.9 percent, compared with last month’s 2.1 percent decline from July.

The median price paid for a Southland home fell last month to $288,000, down 2.4 percent from $295,000 in July but up 4.7 percent from $275,000 in August 2009. The median has declined on a month-to-month basis for the past three months, since hitting a high for this year of $305,000 in May.

Sales Volume Median Price
All homes Aug-09 Aug-10 %Chng Aug-09 Aug-10 %Chng
Los Angeles 7,189 6,180 -14.00% $329,500 $330,000 0.20%
Orange 2,790 2,538 -9.00% $427,750 $440,000 2.90%
Riverside 4,145 3,478 -16.10% $190,000 $200,000 5.30%
San Bernardino 3,276 2,513 -23.30% $145,000 $158,000 9.00%
San Diego 3,306 3,113 -5.80% $325,000 $337,000 3.70%
Ventura 796 719 -9.70% $375,500 $370,000 -1.50%
SoCal 21,502 18,541 -13.80% $275,000 $288,000 4.70%


ButterMonkey said...

From what I've noticed, prices always seem to get stuck around this time of year. You get those people who priced their houses too high in the spring and summer who finally reduce what they're asking now, but it's too late and they won't go lower. They'll start to bend in Nov. and by January a few of them come to their senses and you get a bit of well priced inventory.

ButterMonkey said...

Oh, and a strange thing I've noticed. There seem to be some flipping going on in the lower income areas. WHY? I've been watching the area across from the Arlington Target in Riverside (Maude, Tangerine etc.)for a year or so and I've noticed empty houses with granite counter tops etc. going up for sale. Um, people, granite counter tops and SS appliances don't make your $125k all of a sudden worth $185k!

Harkin85 said...

You get those people who priced their houses too high in the spring and summer who finally reduce what they're asking now, but it's too late and they won't go lower.

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