Monday, February 8, 2010

Jumped in WAY too early


Back in 2007 the real estate market was just starting to crash. There were those that believed the hype spewed out by the NAR and Greenspan about a minor correction. The froth was settling according to Greenspan. So they jumped at the first wave of foreclosures, thinking this was their chance to finally get that house. We know how that worked out......

Here's an example of one of those sales. 17179 Ironridge in Riverside is a home in the Bridle Creek tract up in Woodcrest. This is the smallest home in the tract at just under 3000 s/f. It's a nice floorplan but it is small for the area. This particular home sold new in 2005 for $660k. At the peak in late 06 they were asking close to $800k for this model but no one was buying. This home sold to the current aqua-owner in mid 2007 for $640k. I'm sure he thought he got a steal, after all that was nearly $150k less than the builder was asking. Here we are 2 and a holf years later and the current owner needs out. His current asking price probably qualifies him for a delusional seller award. But hey, might as well try to save your ass, right? His asking price is $599k. He is probably hoping to break even after costs as it says it's a standard sale. His problem of course, is that the house isn't worth any where near that much. Based on sold comps his place is worth $400k tops and I doubt he would get that as most of the homes that sold for $400k had pool and upgraded interiors. He doesn't even have a patio in the back and his counters are white tile. The interior is LOW END and the outside is just grass. There's no hope this home will sell anywhere near $600k or $500k and I think he'd have a hard time getting $400k. Makes you wonder how many more of these there are. How many of those 2007 sales or even early 2008 sales will we see going bad.

Hows this for a typical "builder basic" kitchen. No upgrades here folks!

7 comments:

Karen's Corner said...

Who would want to pay the water bill for all that grass, much less mow the whole thing?

Unknown said...

Looks like a nice estate size spacious development with room between neighbors, but this particular house is RIGHT next to its neighbor. I wonder why the developer put some homes right next to each other when it seems the lots are level enough to put homes roughly in the middle of each lot.

golfer_X said...

The home is located where it is because of the drainage ditch on the left side and where the drive way needs to go. The other home is way over to get it away from the little access street. And Karen is right, that's $300/mo worth of water to keep all that grass alive.

Tyrone said...

I can't really imagine the anguish or empathize with what this debtor is experiencing.

Guy at work thinks things are starting to turn around. I ask him why, but he doesn't really have an answer, other than what he "feels". After I show him real data and facts, he says, "Wow." I think this is how the average person lives and makes decisions... without data.

golfer_X said...

It's very obvious that most people just watch TV and believe what they hear on the 6 oclock news or what a realtor tells them. They base the biggest decision of their lives on the opinion of one or two people who's paycheck depends on the sale. It's just amazing.

VectorzSigma said...

Don't fool yourself into thinking that because you have data, that you can predict what's going to happen. The single biggest factor on what will happen is the government. We don't have capitalism, so data goes out the window. Look at stock markets - all the data in the world couldn't help them. Look at everyone's guesses here in 2009 about shadow inventory blowing up - we all know what did NOT happen there (thanks to govt meddling by giving freeloaders extended modification wait times, further bank bailouts to keep them from needing to unload, etc, etc). You should learn to accept you have no idea what's going to happen.

snail said...

take it easy people, this person is ready to take $41,000 haircut, give he/she a break....poor flipper